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German economy stagnates, narrowly dodging recession

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German economy stagnates, narrowly dodging recession

The German economy stagnated in the third quarter, narrowly dodging a recession, official data showed Thursday, hit by weakening exports as the country struggles to recover from a long downturn.

Europe’s top economy posted zero growth from July to September compared with the previous quarter, according to preliminary data from federal statistics agency Destatis.

This followed a 0.2 percent contraction in the second quarter. Analysts surveyed by financial data firm FactSet had forecast a 0.1 percent expansion in the third quarter.

Germany’s crucial exports “were down compared with the previous quarter”, the agency said, although investment in machinery and equipment provided some support.

The figures show that “things are still not going well in Germany”, LBBW bank economist Jens-Oliver Niklasch said.

A planned public spending blitz on infrastructure and defence “will not be enough in the long run”, he said, adding: “Growth-promoting reforms are the order of the day.”

READ ALSO: Where employment growth is strongest in Germany – and where it’s weakest

Annual inflation in Germany eased in October to 2.3 percent, from 2.4 percent a month earlier, according to preliminary data from Destatis.

But the fall was slower than anticipated, with analysts surveyed by financial data firm FactSet having predicted a figure of 2.2 percent for October.

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The eurozone’s traditional growth engine shrank in both 2024 and 2023, hammered by a manufacturing slump, high energy costs and weak demand for exports.

US President Donald Trump’s tariff onslaught has added to the headwinds, as the United States is a major market for German products, from cars to pharmaceuticals and industrial equipment.

Growth was boosted at the start of the year as US companies rushed to build up stocks of goods before Trump’s tariffs kicked in, but that momentum has since reversed.

Official data released Thursday showed the Italian economy also stagnated in the July-to-September after falling in the previous quarter.

READ ALSO: Taxes to immigration – The major challenges Germany faces this autumn

Meanwhile the French economy grew by a faster-than-expected 0.5 percent in the third quarter, despite a political crisis over the country’s massive debt and deficit.

The eurozone economy also managed a faster-than-expected 0.2 percent expansion in the quarter.

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Zukunft des City Rings in Lünen Mitgliederzahl sinkt, Veranstaltungen bleiben beliebt

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Zukunft des City Rings in Lünen Mitgliederzahl sinkt, Veranstaltungen bleiben beliebt

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Macau: From Colonial Heritage to Asia’s Gambling Capital

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Trump Advocates for Death Penalty Reinforcement Amid Biden's Policy Changes

Fri 20th Dec, 2024

On December 20, 1999, Portugal officially relinquished control of Macau, a former colony that had been under its governance for more than 400 years. This transition marked a significant shift in the region’s political and economic landscape, transforming Macau into a prominent gambling hub often referred to as the ‘Las Vegas of Asia.’

Unlike Hong Kong, which experienced significant political unrest following its handover to China, Macau has largely maintained political stability. The region, which is significantly smaller in both area and population compared to its neighbor, has become an appealing destination for tourists, primarily due to its extensive gaming industry.

Macau is characterized by its Cotai Strip, a bustling boulevard akin to Las Vegas, where visitors find a plethora of casinos, luxury hotels, and shopping centers. Numerous major companies have established themselves in Macau, drawing inspiration from the iconic resorts of Nevada. This strategic positioning has solidified Macau’s reputation as a leading entertainment destination in Asia.

Historically, Macau’s connection to China deepened long before the 1999 handover. The influence of Chinese culture and politics has been significant, particularly during the Cultural Revolution, which began in 1966. By the time of the handover, the governance of Macau had already shifted largely towards Chinese influence, leading to a unique political landscape that has not seen the same level of protest as Hong Kong.

In the years following the handover, Macau’s economy has thrived, especially after the liberalization of its gaming industry. The introduction of competitive gaming licenses attracted international operators, particularly from the United States, who have significantly contributed to the local economy. As a result, Macau’s GDP has seen remarkable growth, reaching approximately $70,000 per capita by 2023, which surpasses that of Hong Kong and mainland China.

Despite its economic success, the dependency on tourism and gambling raises concerns about sustainability. The local government has recognized this challenge and has been distributing a portion of its budget surplus to residents, ensuring that the population benefits from the economic boom.

Macau’s cultural identity remains complex, with nearly half of its residents originating from mainland China. This demographic composition has influenced local sentiment towards governance and the broader relationship with China. As political changes continue to unfold in the region, Macau has been praised as a model for the ‘One Country, Two Systems’ principle, illustrating a different trajectory from Hong Kong.

As the 25th anniversary of the handover approaches, the question of Macau’s future remains pertinent. While the region continues to flourish as a gambling and entertainment hub, the potential for greater integration with mainland China looms, prompting discussions about the long-term implications for its autonomous status and cultural identity.

In conclusion, Macau’s evolution from a colonial outpost to a vibrant economic center reflects broader trends in regional politics and economics. As it celebrates a quarter-century since its return to Chinese sovereignty, Macau stands as a testament to the complexities of post-colonial governance in the context of a rapidly changing global landscape.

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How you’ll be affected by a steep rise in German health insurance contributions

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How you'll be affected by a steep rise in German health insurance contributions

With statutory health insurance contributions set to increase in January 2026, we look at how the proposed increases could affect your wallet – and what steps you can take to keep the financial impact to a minimum.

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